Mexico Energy Industry Challenges For 2007 And 2008
Investors, government policymakers, and energy users are unsure about the direction and future opportunities in Mexico's energy sector. CERA has identified ten overarching questions that are signpost
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Publication Date: AUG 2007
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Filling China's Strategic Petroleum Reserves
China is filling its strategic petroleum reserves and expanding storage capacity for both national reserves and mandatory corporate reserves. With its reserves filled, China will be able to more effe
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Publication Date: JUL 2007
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The US-Saudi Relationship: Still Special, But Changing
The US-Saudi ""special relationship"" that has been important to both parties for more than 60 years is rapidly changing because of altered circumstances and interests on both sides that have eroded
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Publication Date: JUL 2007
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Moscow's Idle Well Reduction Campaign Adds Uncertainty To Russian Oil Production Outlook
The Russian government has intensified its effort to reduce the share of nonproducing idle wells in the oil industry's total count to no more than 10 percent. But the drive to reduce the idle well co
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Publication Date: JUL 2007
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Peak Demand In The Us Gasoline Market: How Soon?
Concerns about energy security, high gasoline prices, and climate change are likely to bring about stronger fuel efficiency standards in the United States. These standards could result in a peak in
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Publication Date: JUL 2007
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Can Oil Companies Benefit From Desktop Scavenging's Power?
As the upstream oil and gas sector turns to increasingly more sophisticated tools to explore for, develop, and manage its hydrocarbon resources, the demand for high performance computing continues to
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Publication Date: JUL 2007
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Venezuela's Extra-Heavy Oil Resources: Implications Of Increased Government Control
On May 1, 2007, Venezuela implemented the long-awaited nationalization of Orinoco Oil Belt resources as state-owned oil company Petróleos de Venezuela, SA (PDVSA) assumed direct control of opera
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Publication Date: JUL 2007
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Mixed Results For Algeria's Parliamentary Elections
Algeria's May 17 parliamentary elections did not change the political landscape. Voters reelected the Presidential Alliance, although with some changes that shift power slightly away from the histori
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Publication Date: JUN 2007
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Middle East Refining Export Boost Expected
By 2015 Middle East national oil companies (NOCs) are expected to add 3.3 million barrels per day of new refining capacity, a 50 percent increase in output. These substantial additions will create a
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Publication Date: JUN 2007
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China Market Commentary: Strong First Quarter Sets Stage For Continued Strong Demand
CERA expects strong oil, gas, and power demand in second and third quarters on the back of strong economic growth in the first quarter of 2007. Power supply-demand moved into balance.
Publication Date: JUN 2007
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Latin American Hydrocarbon Nationalism On The Rise--For Now
Hydrocarbon nationalism is once again on the rise in Latin America. The pendulum appears to be swinging again between a liberalized model that fails to redistribute and maximize government rents and
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Publication Date: JUN 2007
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Oil Production Increasingly Concentrated--Again
The pendulum in the oil market is swinging back from diversification of supply to more concentrated sourcing. Just fifteen countries are expected to account for up to 84 percent of the net growth in
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Publication Date: JUN 2007
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Russian Petrochemical Industry Growth Likely To Continue If Export Tax Regime Survives
A new strategy for the petrochemical industry, drafted by the Russian government, implies a growing role for this already-booming sector in the national economy. There are already signs of recently i
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Publication Date: APR 2007
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The Politics Of Iraq's Hydrocarbons Law
After long discussions, Iraq's Council of Ministers adopted a draft hydrocarbons law to be submitted to the Iraqi Parliament. But the debate is not over yet as the draft stops short of resolving all
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Publication Date: APR 2007
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Latin American Sugarcane-Based Ethanol--New Proposal To Boost Production
US President George W. Bush's visit to Brazil in early March brought forth a far-reaching proposal to boost sugarcane-based ethanol production in the continent, based on three pillars of support: the
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Publication Date: APR 2007
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Oil Industry Meeting The Challenge
This Special Report is based on remarks by CERA Vice President and Managing Director of Global Research David Hobbs at CERAWeek 2007 discussing whether the global oil and gas industry will meet the c
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Publication Date: APR 2007
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Jet Fuel: How High A Flyer? Demand, Supply, And The Endless Quest For Efficiency
For the past three decades global air traffic has grown 5.5 percent annually, outpacing economic growth by nearly 2.5 percentage points and this trend is expected to continue, with air traffic likely
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Publication Date: MAR 2007
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Global Oil Industry Challenges For 2007
Ten overarching questions with implications for corporate leaders, investors, government policymakers, and energy users will influence the direction of the oil industry, which has a history of adapti
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Publication Date: MAR 2007
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China Market Commentary: Third And Fourth Quarters, 2006
China's economy continued its strong growth in the third and fourth quarters of 2006 with commensurate energy demand.
Publication Date: MAR 2007
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Ecuador's Presidential Elections
The rise of President Rafael Correa in Ecuador and his open allegiance to Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez's government and regional agenda has created an interesting atmosphere in Latin America
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Publication Date: FEB 2007
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Toward a 'Soft Escalation' in the Iranian Nuclear Crisis? Setback and Sanctions for Iran's President Mahmoud Ahmadi-Nejad
Less than a month before the final deadline set by UN resolution 1737, the issue of Iran's nuclear status seems deadlocked. Tehran rejected UN measures, which ban import and export of materials and t
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Publication Date: JAN 2007
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Energy Independence
A cry for "energy independence" is being heard across the nation, and loudly so in Washington. In a Wall Street Journal Opinion Page essay, CERA Chairman Daniel Yergin argues that if independence is
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Publication Date: JAN 2007
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Shifting Value: China's Downstream Oil Value Chain
On January 1, 2007, China opened its oil products wholesale sector to greater foreign participation as part of its World Trade Organization commitments. But on initial inspection the Chinese products
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Publication Date: JAN 2007
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Is the Relationship Over? Oil and Natural Gas Prices in North America
The future relationship between natural gas and oil prices remains a primary concern in the boardrooms of most energy companies today, both buyers and sellers. Understanding the relationship is criti
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Publication Date: JAN 2007
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Gasoline and the American People 2007 - Printed Copy
As gasoline prices in the United States rise sharply, the composition of a gallon of gasoline undergoes changes for environmental, supply, tax, and cost reasons, and American drivers struggle to resp
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Publication Date: JAN 2007
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What Way Out? The Report of the Iraq Study Group and the New Urgency
Over a nearly nine-month period, the bipartisan Iraq Study Group analyzed the US role in Iraq and concluded that the escalating violence there puts a stark choice before the US government: Despite di
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Publication Date: DEC 2006
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A Fragile Compromise: Bolivia's New E&P Contracts
With the renegotiation of all Bolivian upstream operations contracts completed on October 31, the Evo Morales Administration scored a political coup. The opposition's boycott of the subsequent Senate
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Publication Date: DEC 2006
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Brazil Eighth Round: Campos Excluded for the First Time
Brazil Eighth Round: Campos, Casualty of Energy Security StrategyFor the eighth Brazilian round on November 28-29, 2006, the government has surprised the market by its unexpected decision to significantly reduce the area offered compar
Publication Date: NOV 2006
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Canadian Oil Sands Rush Sparks Innovations
Canadian Oil Sands Rush Sparks InnovationsSeveral challenges have put the commercialization of Canadian oil sands at risk. The size of "the prize"-an estimated 174 billions of economically recoverable reserves-has created an urgency to
Publication Date: NOV 2006
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Gazprom's Vice Chairman and Gazprom's Oil Company President Ryazanov Dismissed
Aleksandr Ryazanov DismissedAleksandr Ryazanov was dismissed yesterday evening as vice chairman of Gazprom. He had been responsible for a wide range of functions at Gazprom, including the domestic gas market, relations with importers a
Publication Date: NOV 2006
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Why the "Peak Oil" Theory Falls Down -- Myths, Legends, and the Future of Oil Resources
The peak oil debate continues to rage without any obvious progress. But, upon examination, the peak oil theory falls down because of serious flaws in logic and application. CERA's view, based on two
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Publication Date: NOV 2006
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Ethanol and the Oil Market: From Hydrocarbons to Carbohydrates?
Ethanol's rise from a niche business to a rapidly growing industry is being driven by a confluence of drivers-some new, some old. This Private Report examines these drivers, including high petroleum
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Publication Date: OCT 2006
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Venezuela Facing New Taxes
Venezuela's Amended Hydrocarbon Fiscal Framework: A Straitjacket on Heavy Oil Developments?Recent amendments to Venezuela's hydrocarbon and income tax laws have taken three additional steps toward consolidating government control and v
Publication Date: OCT 2006
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Overcoming Challenges to Growth in the Canadian Oil Sands
Canadian Oil Sands: Six Constraints to GrowthAfter many years of being dismissed as a high-cost fringe activity, Canadian oil sands have been embraced by the oil industry as a mainstream approach to achieving reserve growth and energy
Publication Date: OCT 2006
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Volatility Calmed in China's Energy Markets
Quarterly Market Commentary: Return to Stable FootingPersistently rapid economic growth during the first half of 2006 has allowed little relief for China's energy markets. A long-anticipated "soft landing" has yet to play out, compromi
Publication Date: OCT 2006
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Ecuador's Correa a Challenge to Development Path?
Ecuador's Presidential Elections: A Reformist Illusion?The rise of Rafael Correa, a radical national-populist candidate, in Ecuador's presidential race has caused international concern at many levels. Ecuador's voters are turning to Ra
Publication Date: OCT 2006
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North Caspian Offshore: Implications of a Disappointment at Kurmangazy
What If Kurmangazy Comes Up Dry? Possible Implications for the North Caspian OffshoreMore than any other prospect, Kurmangazy has been the very symbol of the complex and shifting oil politics of the north Caspian offshore. But the disa
Publication Date: OCT 2006
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New Oil and Gas Frontier Challenges: Mitigating the Risks
Growth in global energy demand has pushed oil and gas companies to the frontier in search of oil and natural gas reserves to feed hungry economies and this has increased aboveground risk for companie
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Publication Date: OCT 2006
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Energy in Ukraine: Ongoing Opportunities and Challenges
Energy and the Ukrainian Economy: Obstacles and Opportunities AheadThe gas standoff in January 2006 between Russia and Ukraine resulted in a price increase for imported gas that has raised fundamental questions about the future of Ukra
Publication Date: OCT 2006
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Mexico Election Results Final, But Still Challenged
Mexico's Elections Officially Reach the Grand Finale: A Political Juggling ActMore than two months after Election Day, Mexico's Federal Electoral Tribunal declared Felipe Calderón Hinojosa the elected president. The decision offic
Publication Date: OCT 2006
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